Long Bets

Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. An example — a bet between Ray Kurzweil and Mitch Kapor — By 2029 no computer – or ‘machine intelligence’ – will have passed the Turing Test. On a completely unrelated note, Brian Eno’s username on the site is poptimist. Ha!